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The direction came during a meeting chaired by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Saturday to review the performance of PSBs on several financial health parameters and determine their resilience in light of a global financial crisis arising from the collapse of some international banks in the US and Europe.
“At present, only six of 12 PSBs conduct stress testing at micro-cluster level incorporating product-loan categories, demographic details, loan characteristics, among others, while no PSB has built comprehensive mature stress testing model in line with EASE 5.0 recommendations on the extent of historical data considered, number of scenarios, risk types considered, etc,” the official said.
The finance ministry, however, expressed confidence about the resilience of PSBs as they have a liquidity position well above regulatory requirements, diversified deposits, an asset base, and a robust regulatory framework. “Liquidity position of all PSBs is well above regulatory requirements. Unlike SVB, all Indian scheduled commercial banks and non-banking financial institutions are subject to liquidity coverage ratio and net stable funding ratio,” the official said.
PSBs were instructed to increase the share of external benchmark-based lending rate-linked advances for effective transmission in the rate of interest and increase the implementation of risk-based pricing models.
The finance ministry sees reduced profitability for PSBs in 2023-24 (FY24) due to higher provisioning. In a conservative case scenario, where there is a sustained increase in inflation and subsequent rise in policy rates by 25 basis points or above, the finance ministry expects a moderate to weak profitability outlook for Indian banks in FY24. However, in the base case scenario, when there is stability in inflation and interest rates, the Indian banking sector has a strong profitability outlook for FY24 with sustained high credit growth, continued fee income growth, and a downward trajectory of credit costs.
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